# 7-Tage-Summen der neuen COVID-19 Verstorbenen in ganz Deutschland # # Version : 2025-04-26 # Autor : Dietmar Lippold # Projekt : https://covid19-de-stats.sourceforge.io/ # Lizenz : CC-BY 4.0 International, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.de # Grundlage: Daten vom Robert Koch-Institut (RKI), https://github.com/robert-koch-institut/, # 'Intensivkapazitaeten und COVID-19-Intensivbettenbelegung in Deutschland' # # Formel fuer die Prognose mittels der Hospitalisierungs-Daten: # verstorben(wn) = -0.292 * hospital_60-79(wn) + 0.199 * hospital_alle(wn) + 0.146 * hospital_alle_ba1(wn) + 0.03 * hospital_alle_ba2(wn) + -127 # Mittlerer relativer absoluter Fehler: 16 % # # Formel fuer die Prognose mittels der Infektions-Daten: # verstorben(wn) = -1.13 * wn + -0.0207 * infiziert_60-79(wn) + 0.0854 * infiziert_ab80(wn) + 0.00147 * infiziert_alle(wn) + -0.000925 * infiziert_alle_ba1(wn) + -0.000524 * infiziert_alle_ba2(wn) + 196 # Mittlerer relativer absoluter Fehler: 7 % # # Wochennummer, Verstorbene, Prognose mit Hospital., Prognose mit Infekt. 103, 1661, ?, 1627 104, 1622, 1713, 1599 105, 1802, 1874, 1820 106, 1960, 1874, 2006 107, 1909, 1731, 1935 108, 1547, 1454, 1613 109, 1302, 1246, 1218 110, 993, 973, 908 111, 820, 943, 737 112, 687, 732, 730 113, 547, 595, 517 114, 419, 507, 398 115, 330, 367, 312 116, 216, 212, 233 117, 226, 264, 227 118, 289, 361, 300 119, 407, 451, 387 120, 570, 674, 623 121, 618, 705, 680 122, 704, 754, 689 123, 979, 927, 924 124, 1142, 1037, 1035 125, 1050, 833, 937 126, 804, 687, 754 127, 629, 551, 625 128, 596, 522, 622 129, 406, 404, 442 130, 353, 294, 386 131, 319, 307, 391 132, 357, 343, 407 133, 526, 543, 505 134, 888, 964, 898 135, 1296, 1359, 1260 136, 1580, 1605, 1564 137, 1494, 1467, 1573 138, 1062, 990, 1144 139, 709, 714, 766 140, 649, 590, 728 141, 558, 569, 630 142, 655, 621, 726 143, 815, 820, 821 144, 970, 942, 958 145, 1152, 1109, 1120 146, 1306, 1203, 1250 147, 983, 901, 865 148, 844, 794, 785 149, 527, 513, 539 150, 340, 386, 395 151, 339, 412, 378 152, 350, 515, 425 153, 461, 639, 510 154, 618, 811, 616 155, 613, 857, 654 156, 557, 758, 597 157, 591, 723, 559 158, 651, 783, 598 159, 568, 614, 514 160, 449, 423, 390 161, 299, 259, 278 162, 325, 264, 288 163, 247, 177, 226 164, 186, 138, 180 165, 180, 88, 157 166, 132, 40, 133 167, 97, 0, 94 168, 85, -7, 91 169, 70, ?, 57 170, 47, ?, 48 171, 49, ?, 41 172, 25, ?, ? 173, 27, ?, ? 174, 10, ?, ? 175, 15, ?, ? 176, 13, ?, ? 177, 20, ?, ? 178, 45, ?, ? 179, 46, ?, ? 180, 65, ?, ? 181, 92, ?, ? 182, 76, ?, ? 183, 100, ?, ? 184, 127, ?, ? 185, 133, ?, ? 186, 145, ?, ? 187, 178, ?, ? 188, 220, ?, ? 189, 286, ?, ? 190, 367, ?, ? 191, 486, ?, ? 192, 468, ?, ? 193, 426, ?, ? 194, 471, ?, ? 195, 473, ?, ? 196, 522, ?, ? 197, 650, ?, ? 198, 547, ?, ? 199, 408, ?, ? 200, 352, ?, ? 201, 214, ?, ? 202, 151, ?, ? 203, 119, ?, ? 204, 118, ?, ? 205, 81, ?, ? 206, 71, ?, ? 207, 40, ?, ? 208, 40, ?, ? 209, 22, ?, ? 210, 20, ?, ? 211, 18, ?, ? 212, 24, ?, ? 213, 22, ?, ? 214, 16, ?, ? 215, 15, ?, ? 216, 9, ?, ? 217, 12, ?, ? 218, 21, ?, ? 219, 34, ?, ? 220, 10, ?, ? 221, 15, ?, ? 222, 13, ?, ? 223, 24, ?, ? 224, 20, ?, ? 225, 52, ?, ? 226, 67, ?, ? 227, 69, ?, ? 228, 77, ?, ? 229, 72, ?, ? 230, 65, ?, ? 231, 66, ?, ? 232, 70, ?, ? 233, 76, ?, ? 234, 65, ?, ? 235, 95, ?, ? 236, 86, ?, ? 237, 104, ?, ? 238, 148, ?, ? 239, 158, ?, ? 240, 196, ?, ? 241, 222, ?, ? 242, 237, ?, ? 243, 174, ?, ? 244, 184, ?, ? 245, 128, ?, ? 246, 130, ?, ? 247, 143, ?, ? 248, 130, ?, ? 249, 104, ?, ? 250, 135, ?, ? 251, 76, ?, ? 252, 114, ?, ? 253, 95, ?, ? 254, 70, ?, ? 255, 61, ?, ? 256, 49, ?, ? 257, 37, ?, ? 258, 28, ?, ? 259, 27, ?, ? 260, 27, ?, ? 261, 13, ?, ? 262, 15, ?, ? 263, 17, ?, ? 264, 13, ?, ?